model version v4+ with no transaction costs.
Focused on streamlining data processes, enhancing system reliability, and improving transparency. Launched on 10/2/2022.
Note: Version 1 & 2 experienced significant losses in unfavorable market conditions prior to the improved modeling and risk management implemented in version 3 onwards. While not representative of the running system's performance, they are included for transparency.
| Metric | Benchmark | Strategy | 
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Rate | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| Time in Market | 97.0% | 87.0% | 
| Total Return | 14.46% | 48.95% | 
| CAGR﹪ | 3.28% | 10.0% | 
| Sharpe | 0.48 | 1.56 | 
| Prob. Sharpe Ratio | 77.6% | 99.49% | 
| Smart Sharpe | 0.47 | 1.54 | 
| Sortino | 0.66 | 2.49 | 
| Smart Sortino | 0.65 | 2.45 | 
| Sortino/√2 | 0.47 | 1.76 | 
| Smart Sortino/√2 | 0.46 | 1.73 | 
| Omega | 1.35 | 1.35 | 
| Max Drawdown | -15.9% | -8.57% | 
| Longest DD Days | 456 | 246 | 
| Volatility (ann.) | 11.86% | 12.25% | 
| R^2 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 
| Information Ratio | 0.06 | 0.06 | 
| Calmar | 0.19 | 1.39 | 
| Skew | -0.19 | 0.76 | 
| Kurtosis | 5.42 | 7.35 | 
| Expected Daily | 0.02% | 0.07% | 
| Expected Monthly | 0.42% | 1.52% | 
| Expected Yearly | 3.47% | 11.52% | 
| Kelly Criterion | -1.92% | 13.72% | 
| Risk of Ruin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| Daily Value-at-Risk | -1.21% | -1.19% | 
| Expected Shortfall (cVaR) | -1.21% | -1.19% | 
| Max Consecutive Wins | 8 | 8 | 
| Max Consecutive Losses | 5 | 6 | 
| Gain/Pain Ratio | 0.09 | 0.35 | 
| Gain/Pain (1M) | 0.41 | 2.09 | 
| Payoff Ratio | 0.84 | 0.96 | 
| Profit Factor | 1.09 | 1.35 | 
| Common Sense Ratio | 0.94 | 1.37 | 
| CPC Index | 0.49 | 0.75 | 
| Tail Ratio | 0.86 | 1.01 | 
| Outlier Win Ratio | 3.69 | 4.13 | 
| Outlier Loss Ratio | 3.3 | 3.33 | 
| MTD | 0.45% | -0.16% | 
| 3M | 1.69% | 19.22% | 
| 6M | 10.72% | 31.31% | 
| YTD | 10.09% | 33.6% | 
| 1Y | 6.34% | 27.73% | 
| 3Y (ann.) | 3.28% | 10.0% | 
| 5Y (ann.) | 3.28% | 10.0% | 
| 10Y (ann.) | 3.28% | 10.0% | 
| All-time (ann.) | 3.28% | 10.0% | 
| Best Day | 5.04% | 5.67% | 
| Worst Day | -4.68% | -3.41% | 
| Best Month | 6.92% | 10.94% | 
| Worst Month | -4.61% | -5.75% | 
| Best Year | 10.09% | 33.6% | 
| Worst Year | -2.41% | -0.82% | 
| Avg. Drawdown | -2.38% | -1.92% | 
| Avg. Drawdown Days | 45 | 21 | 
| Recovery Factor | 0.91 | 5.71 | 
| Ulcer Index | 0.04 | 0.03 | 
| Serenity Index | 0.31 | 2.43 | 
| Avg. Up Month | 3.01% | 3.55% | 
| Avg. Down Month | -2.83% | -2.17% | 
| Win Days | 53.46% | 57.65% | 
| Win Month | 58.06% | 64.52% | 
| Win Quarter | 53.85% | 61.54% | 
| Win Year | 50.0% | 75.0% | 
| Beta | - | 0.42 | 
| Alpha | - | 0.17 | 
| Correlation | - | 40.69% | 
| Treynor Ratio | - | 142.78% | 
| Year | Benchmark | Strategy | Multiplier | Won | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -2.41 | -0.82 | 0.34 | + | 
| 2023 | 8.14 | 11.18 | 1.37 | + | 
| 2024 | -1.36 | 4.99 | -3.66 | + | 
| 2025 | 10.09 | 33.60 | 3.33 | + | 
| Started | Recovered | Drawdown | Days | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-31 | -8.57 | 23 | 
| 2023-07-28 | 2023-12-13 | -7.92 | 139 | 
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-29 | -7.77 | 61 | 
| 2024-06-26 | 2025-02-26 | -6.84 | 246 | 
| 2025-05-28 | 2025-07-11 | -4.90 | 45 | 
| 2025-07-24 | 2025-08-07 | -4.42 | 15 | 
| 2023-01-31 | 2023-04-04 | -4.13 | 64 | 
| 2023-05-16 | 2023-07-04 | -3.33 | 50 | 
| 2022-12-15 | 2023-01-11 | -2.86 | 28 | 
| 2025-08-22 | 2025-09-04 | -2.52 | 14 |